Greece vs Turkey EuroBasket 2025 Semifinal Preview, Odds, and Prediction

The EuroBasket 2025 semifinal will feature one of Europe’s fiercest rivalries as Greece and Turkey meet on Friday, September 12, at the Xiaomi Arena in Riga, Latvia. Beyond basketball, this matchup carries history and intensity, making it one of the most highly anticipated games of the tournament.

Greece vs Turkey Odds

• Moneyline

  • Greece: +104

  • Turkey: -128

• Spread

  • Greece +1.5: -110

  • Turkey -1.5: -110

• Total Points

  • Over 162.5: -110

  • Under 162.5: -110

Match Details

• Venue: Xiaomi Arena, Riga, Latvia

• Date: Friday, September 12, 2025

• Time: 12:00 p.m. ET

• How to Watch: Max

Greece’s Strength: Giannis Antetokounmpo

Greece enters the semifinal led by head coach Vassilis Spanoulis and NBA superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo. Without him, Greece would look like an average team, but with him on the court, they become a medal contender.

Giannis has been dominant in this year’s tournament, scoring at least 25 points in every game he has played. Greece has won all five games with him in the lineup, while the only game he missed ended in defeat against Bosnia and Herzegovina. His impact is undeniable, and he will be the key factor if Greece are to advance to the final.

Why Turkey Are Favored by Oddsmakers

Turkey remain unbeaten at 7-0 in EuroBasket 2025, which includes a statement victory over Serbia, the pre-tournament favorite.

Their standout performer is Alperen Sengun, who has been consistently producing double-doubles and even notched a triple-double in the quarterfinals. Alongside Sengun, Turkey have reliable contributors like Cedi Osman and Shane Larkin, both of whom have delivered in crucial moments. With depth across their roster, Turkey look like a complete team capable of handling elite opposition.

Greece vs Turkey Prediction

Oddsmakers slightly favor Turkey, but the outcome may come down to whether they can slow down Giannis. If the Turkish defense finds a way to limit his scoring and rebounding, they could finally secure their first competitive win over Greece since 2010.

That said, this game is unlikely to be one-sided. Expect a close battle, decided by just a few points. With the spread set at 1.5, value lies in alternative options. Our recommended play is Greece +4.5 at -189, giving bettors extra margin in what should be a tense and competitive semifinal.

Pick: Greece +4.5